Casualty AnalysisThis is a featured page



Duncan's calculations



Population







Density
15psi Area
5psi Area



1
0.386102
.55418 Mi^2
1.26042 Mi^2

Cities
Sq Km
Sq Mi
100% Dead
50% Dead

Atlanta
1,379
3,572
1,979
2,251

Baltimore
3,038
7,868
4,361
4,959

Boston
4,457
11,544
6,397
7,275

Charlotte
974
2,523
1,398
1,590

Chicago
4,832
12,515
6,935
7,887

Dallas
1,368
3,543
1,964
2,233

DC
3,462
8,967
4,969
5,651

Denver
1,405
3,639
2,017
2,293

Detroit
2,467
6,390
3,541
4,027

Lawrence

0

2,849
1,579
1,795

Los Angeles
3,165
8,197
4,543
5,166

Miami
4,182
10,831
6,003
6,826

Minneapolis
2,622
6,791
3,763
4,280

Philadelphia
4,182
10,831
6,003
6,826

Pittsburgh
2,200
5,698
3,158
3,591

San Diego
1,495
3,872
2,146
2,440

San Francisco
6,114
15,835
8,776
9,979

Seattle
2,642
6,843
3,792
4,312

St Louis
2,147
5,561
3,082
3,504





137,868
76,403
86,886





Total immediate deaths
163,289

Population in 15psi
76403





Population in 5psi
173771
% dead
65.27%



Total
250174




Here is an updated report on Nuclear detonation in an American city dated April of this year, 2007.
http://bcsia.ksg.harvard.edu/BCSIA_content/documents/DayAfterWorkshopReport_May2007.pdf


DuncanONeil
DuncanONeil
Latest page update: made by DuncanONeil , Aug 19 2007, 9:18 PM EDT (about this update About This Update DuncanONeil Update aug 2007 - DuncanONeil

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Anonymous Doubtful 9 Apr 2 2008, 11:46 PM EDT by DuncanONeil
 
Thread started: Apr 1 2007, 8:08 PM EDT  Watch
These figures are doubtful. The bombings at Hiroshima and Nagasaki were about the same yield as the bombs used in Jericho (maybe 1 or 2 kilotons more), and generated approximately 214,000 casualties. That was in only 2 cities, and the bombs were dropped over industrial (not residential) areas. In Jericho, assuming the bombs were detonated in commercial or residential zones, would have generated far more casualties than what you are depticting.
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Anonymous Los Angeles? 7 Feb 13 2008, 5:38 PM EST by DuncanONeil
 
Thread started: Apr 2 2007, 4:19 AM EDT  Watch
Why are your numbers so low? I live in LA and I've read the Nuclear Terrorist Analysis Report by the RAND Corporation. They show 60,000 deaths almost immediately. You only show 9,707 and yet the nuclear bombs in Jericho were twice the size of the RAND Corp report. Why is this?
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7Knight-Wolf Well...no offence... 6 Nov 11 2007, 10:26 AM EST by DuncanONeil
Thread started: Aug 20 2007, 4:18 PM EDT  Watch
I think there would be more casulties than you've come up with, no offence meant. The bombs were supposed to wipe out, what, over half of Americans? Aren't there like six billion people in America? And a nuclear bomb in say, Washington D.C., would not just blow up D.C. but some surrounding area, too. And then there's the very widespread problem of radiation which would also knock out a few hundred thousand people. Rememebr Hawkins' poster which shows the area surrounding a city which would be destroyed, as well as a much broader zone for radiation?...Look at Hakwins' poster again; it's shown in 1.18 "AKA" and 1.21 "Coaltion of the Willing." Everyone within the colorful zones would either die at once or be killed by radiation, making casualties of millions.
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